Continued expansion of industrial-scale oil palm
plantations on the island of Borneo will become a leading cause of
greenhouse gas emissions by 2020 unless strong forest and peatland
protections are enacted and enforced, according to a National Academy of
Sciences study.
The study, conducted by Yale and Stanford researchers, found that
about two-thirds of lands outside of protected areas in the Ketapang
District of West Kalimantan Province in Indonesian Borneo are leased to
oil palm agribusiness companies. If these leases are converted to oil
palm at current expansion rates, by 2020 monotypic palm stands will
occupy more than a third of regional lands and intact forests will
decline to less than 5 percent from approximately 15 percent in 2008.
The researchers were surprised to learn that 50 percent of oil palm
plantations were established on peatlands through last year. When peat
soils are drained for oil palm cultivation, they begin to release carbon
dioxide, a greenhouse gas. The study found that if oil palm expansion
continues, with no restrictions on peatland development, almost 90
percent of oil palm's greenhouse gas emissions will come from peatlands
by 2020.
"Preventing oil palm establishment on peatlands will be critical for
any greenhouse gas emissions-reduction strategy," said Kimberly Carlson,
a doctoral candidate at the Yale School of Forestry & Environmental
Studies and co-author of the study with Lisa Curran, a professor of
anthropology at Stanford University.
Carlson pointed out that even if future oil palm expansion is halted
in forests and peatlands, greenhouse gas emissions will decline by only 3
percent to 4 percent. She said that instead of simply placing a
moratorium on oil palm expansion, "protecting secondary and logged
forests, as well as peatlands, is the strategy that most effectively
reduces carbon emissions and maintains forest cover."
The researchers argue that regional emissions could be reduced by up
to 21 percent by 2020 through the prevention of oil palm encroachment,
wildfire, logging, and agricultural expansion on intact and previously
logged forested lands and peatlands. But even in the best-case scenario
for reducing greenhouse gas emissions, 28 percent of 1 million acres of
community lands will be converted to oil palm.
"Unfortunately forest and peatland protection does not automatically
generate benefits for local communities," said Curran. "To become truly
sustainable, oil palm companies must not only protect existing forests
and carbon stocks, but should ensure that any land acquired from
resident smallholder farmers and communities meets the criteria for
free, prior and informed consent, and is equitably and transparently
compensated."
Incorporating people, forests and carbon in their assessment required
building a spatially explicit simulation model from scratch. The
researchers started with a model of deforestation in the Brazilian
Amazon developed by co-author Britaldo Soares-Filho and his team, and
rebuilt it for the drastically different environment of Indonesian
Borneo.
Palm oil is a form of edible vegetable oil used in many products,
including cookies, crackers, popcorn, frozen dinners, low-fat dairy,
candy, soap and cosmetics. Indonesia, currently the global leader in
palm-oil production, aims to increase the area for oil palm cultivation
to 45 million acres by 2020 from 24 million acres in 2009, yet little is
known about the influence of oil palm expansion on people and
ecosystems.
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